Do you think the Tories will get a majority in 2015?

[lottieandmia]

?

Or are we more likely to have another coalition?

[tak1ngchances]

Bloody hope we don't have another coalition...

[ssd]

christ I hope not

am sick to the back teeth of the tories

did you see IDS trying to defend benefit cuts on tv this morning? unbelievable.

[lottieandmia]

Imagine a coalition of UKIP and the Tories. Worst case scenario, surely?

[MagnaCharge]

I think a lot of people feel let down by the lub dems. I don't know whether this will result in a conservative majority but I think it will be close.

[lottieandmia]

Yes the arsehole. He's fine with people using food banks apparently.

[lottieandmia]

I read that for every 4 former Lib Dem voters moving to Labour, only 1 moves to Tory.

[EEatingSoupForLunch]

I hope not too, and am doing what I can (leafletting etc) to help Labour. It concerns me that people are angry with the Lib Dems but sone of the nastier Tory policies, like punishing the unemployed, appeal.

[NoArmaniNoPunani]

It's quite worrying that ukip are gaining popularity

[EEatingSoupForLunch]

Appeal to a large chunk of people I mean - not to me!

[monopoly123]

I still don't understand how we ended up with a coalition, it just seemed to serve the purpose of fulfilling DCs ambition of being PM one day but I don't think it was for either the good of the country or a long term plan. A lot of policies seem to be with the proviso of in it for the short term.
2015 - who knows? Scotland independence will certainly be a factor if that happens.
I predict a 40% turnout in voters.

[gamerchick]

Christ i hope not.

[lottieandmia]

Perhaps UKIP has so far had a lot of protest votes and hopefully they won't get so many votes in the general election.

Every time I hear their politicians on the radio I inwardly squirm.

[EdithWeston]

I think it's quite possible. The economy has made the progress expected, the cuts were announced early, so there is nothing new coming there. The latest output figures are good, and as wages begin to creep upwards, people will be feeling a bit better off and won't want it all blown precipitately on another new Labour binge. (Balls has to go if they want to escape the association with reckless spending).

And there is still an almost total absence of policy proposals by Labour, let alone one with some idea of the expected costs and whether there will be countervailing cuts (to what?) or more borrowing (lead balloon). They still look utterly unelectable.

The mantra 'tax bonuses' is all well and good, but I don't think anyone could persuade the electorate that it produces a bottomless pit of money that will pay for everything (in the way that it's been waved around for all sorts of additional spending).

Labour has also said it won't be reversing coalition cuts. Which will be another reason to stick with the coalition parties, as it's backdrop for both main parties and current government, despite omnishambes at times, is the one that has done it.

[balenciaga]

God I hope not

[lottieandmia]

The fact that Labour would not reverse the cuts is not a reason to vote for the Tories. The Tories will carry on with their plans to dismantle the NHS and various other nasty ideas they have if they get a majority next time. They didn't manage a majority last time after all.

[expatinscotland]

I think UKIP will get a scary number of votes.

[EdithWeston]

I think some will see it as a reason to continue.

And of course people will remember that it was Labour who introduced private providers into NHS and is totally silent on whether their privatisatiins, or any subsequent ones, would be reversed.

[lottieandmia]

I agree that Scottish independence will have an impact.

[LoveIsAnOpenDoor]

I bloody well hope not!

[FriedFishAndBread]

It is scary when you think how popular ukip has grown.

All because he likes a pint and a fag and calls a spade a spade... urgh

I like a pint and the odd fag, doesn't mean I like his policys and party views.

[ttosca]

No:

www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/gainloss.html

We'll be rid of the psychopaths soon.

[ttosca]

...At least if current voting trends continue.

[EdithWeston]

Not so sure ttosca - look at the graphs: if the trend continues (Tory and UKIP moving up, Lab and moving down) then the result on today's snapshot will be badly wrong.

And until there's a proper Labour manifesto out, there's a big confounder: we need polls after they've set their stall out. And they are leaving it rather late now. Anyone know their planned timing?

[lottieandmia]

I hope you are right ttosca. David Cameron is not very popular. I am surprised he hasn't been replaced. Often if the government had a mandate the first time people stick with better the devil you know for two terms but this time the situation was different.

[Isitmebut]

As Labour through dodgy boundaries only need 35% of the vote to get a majority in parliament (so the Conservative would need a several point LEAD in the polls to get a small majority) it is unlikely the Conservatives form a government on their own.

But what happens on a Scottish vote for independence this year, look at the ‘colours’ on the electoral map of ENGLAND after the 2010; how can ANYONE say that Labour is the party of England?

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/in_the_news/2046305-On-a-Scottish-yes-still-allowed-to-vote-in-the-2015-election


And if anyone thinks giving Labour another crack at doing further damage to our finances, resulting in more UK debt and LESS spending – that can only be partially solved with far more tax rises for all as was seen after they won the 1997 election they are mad.

An economy built on a fat Public Sector and welfare, without a Private Sector to support it and £1.5 trillion of national debt already mainly based on that ‘economic model’ – is the economics of a socialist mad house. Simple really, when you THINK about it.

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/in_the_news/2044969--Cost-of-Living-a-cunning-plan